Trading Hypothesis

From Trading Hypothesis To Trading Strategy

 

How do you know that your trading strategy really works?

 

 

If it took you more than 2 seconds to answer this question, read on.

 

When you start trading a new strategy, this question can be challenging to answer. You might have trading rules but because you’re not sure about your edge, your confidence in the strategy will last until you get your first couple of losers.

 

All of a sudden, you question everything.

 

Did this really work to begin with? What if I was just lucky?

 

Let’s fix this.

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lower high

Reversal Trading: 5 Practical Entry Strategies

 

Am I entering too early?

 

Is this a good enough signal to enter this trade?

 


 

If you’ve been trading for more than a week, you’ve probably asked yourself these questions multiple times. How do you accurately determine when to enter? While things like trade management, exit strategies and discipline are also big contributing factors towards your performance, picking a good entry point will increase your chances of having a winning trade on your hands.

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review CHFJPY-1H-short 2

How Last Week’s Trades Resulted In A 10R Profit

Hi traders 👊 Trade review time! 🔥

 

Because I enjoyed sharing my trading review for the first week of the year, I decided I would just do the same this week! 😊 I believe it can help people get some insight into how I trade, how my trade management style is and how a solid trading process and execution can lead to consistently good results.

 

This post is an excerpt from the weekly Trade Advisor members outlook. I always do a review of the setups I discussed the week before since it’s useful to show my trading style and – more importantly – it’s a good way to keep myself accountable of what I do. Of course, our members got all of these setups a week earlier so they could trade and benefit from the same setups and trades as I did.

 

Please note that I only review the trades that triggered. All of the setups that didn’t cross the trigger levels I indicate in my outlook, are left out. Additionally, I don’t just review the winning trades. If the trade triggered but then ended up in a loss, I will also list them here.

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review USDNOK-D-short

Reviewing The First Trading Week of 2018

In this short post, I’d like to review the trades I took last week. I’ll show when I entered, how I managed them and how all of these trades have contributed to my trading performance for last week. Keep on reading to see if I could make a profit 😉

 

Note: This is an excerpt from the weekly forex outlook I’m publishing for our trade advisor members. Every weekly outlook contains a review of the past week since I like to keep myself accountable. Additionally, it’s helpful for members to exactly see which kinds of trades I took and it shows that the way I trade actually works.

 

Finally, I don’t just review the winning trades. If the trade triggered but then ended up in a loss, I will also list them here.

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XAGUSD 4H long

Setups To Look At In The Upcoming Week

Hello everyone, hope you are having a nice weekend! In this post, I want to highlight some of the trades I took last week, as well as a selection of the setups that are part of the trade advisor members watchlist for the upcoming week.

 

Due to a non-stop stream of news events, last week was a week that favoured the longer-term daily setups in favour of the shorter-term setups. At the same time, we’re nearing the end of the year and a lot of traders will start to position themselves with risk reduction in mind, not so much looking to open a lot of new positions.

 

Nevertheless, there are definitely still trading opportunities and in fact, my full trade advisor watchlist includes 15 setups so plenty to choose from in the upcoming week. But let’s first review the past week!

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USDTRY

Get To Know Your Charts

I often get questions from traders to check a chart they took a screenshot from. The first thing I do is look up the same currency pair in my own charting platform. Why do you think this is?

 

As a discretionary trader, I value my chart layout as much as the chart patterns I look for. For many traders, chart-based discretionary trading means finding things like support and resistance, candlestick patterns and trend lines. You discover patterns in how the price behaves. This is the basis of price action theory.

 

chart 1

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Patience

How To Find Ways That Will Help You Increase Patience

Much has been written on why we need to be patient in trading. Be patient to wait for setups. Be patient with your winners. Most of these writings are correct: a lot of money is lost by not being patient enough. FOMO is real.

 

However, no one hardly ever talks about how to become more patient! How do we discover our patience? That’s usually a big mystery.

 

That’s what I want to talk about in this article.

 

 

Patience Is Also A Form Of Action

– Auguste Rodin

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USDCHF

How I Managed My USDCHF Short For An Easy Win

Early this week (well, actually while making my watchlist this weekend), I spotted a very nice setup on the USDCHF 4H charts. It had all the characteristics of a solid reversal setup and I was waiting for for my entry criteria to be fulfilled:

 

 

 

On Tuesday, we got our solid bearish signal! A massive bearish engulfing bar was printed, so once I saw this, I got in. I actually managed to get a slightly better entry than the close of this bearish engulfing candle, but the idea is the same.

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Backtesting

Top 5 Reasons Backtesting Is The Ultimate Skill


“I’m close to going live with my system! It works perfectly!”

– “Great! Have you backtested your system?”

“What’s backtesting?”

– “…”


 

Backtesting. One of those things no trader is really excited about. It usually takes a long time, involves a lot of data crunching and it’s generally, well, boring work.

 

Yet, it’s the one thing traders can’t live without either! To just say that it’s important for your trading success would be an understatement.

 

Elon MuskImagine you’re Elon Musk and you’re building SpaceX rockets. You’ll want to test if they can actually be launched and if they fly as expected, right? Backtesting is that step for trading. It checks if something works as expected.

 

Or rather, you need to ask yourself the question:

How can I make sure that my strategy has an actual edge?

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BTCUSD

Trading The Reversal In Bitcoin

For a long time, I have been interested in bitcoin. I’ve been playing around with it since 2013 and I fully believe that the whole cryptocurrency ecosystem is only getting started.

 

e9a41a49a5da6b6492db0af0f4efe3deHowever, I’ve never featured anything related to cryptocurrencies on Smart Forex Learning! The biggest reason for this is that for a long time, I just saw them as a long-term investment holding, not something I’d actively trade. Nevertheless, I kept track of the price charts.

 

Interest in cryptocurrencies is growing and when I look at the bitcoin chart, it is starting to look like something I would trade. Cleaner charts, (relatively) less crazy spikes. It’s still not what you would call a quiet market, but a fast-moving market like this also provides us with opportunities.

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