USDCHF

How I Managed My USDCHF Short For An Easy Win

Early this week (well, actually while making my watchlist this weekend), I spotted a very nice setup on the USDCHF 4H charts. It had all the characteristics of a solid reversal setup and I was waiting for for my entry criteria to be fulfilled:

 

 

On Tuesday, we got our solid bearish signal! A massive bearish engulfing bar was printed, so once I saw this, I got in. I actually managed to get a slightly better entry than the close of this bearish engulfing candle, but the idea is the same.

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Backtesting

Top 5 Reasons Backtesting Is The Ultimate Skill


“I’m close to going live with my system! It works perfectly!”

– “Great! Have you backtested your system?”

“What’s backtesting?”

– “…”


 

Backtesting. One of those things no trader is really excited about. It usually takes a long time, involves a lot of data crunching and it’s generally, well, boring work.

 

Yet, it’s the one thing traders can’t live without either! To just say that it’s important for your trading success would be an understatement.

 

Elon MuskImagine you’re Elon Musk and you’re building SpaceX rockets. You’ll want to test if they can actually be launched and if they fly as expected, right? Backtesting is that step for trading. It checks if something works as expected.

 

Or rather, you need to ask yourself the question:

How can I make sure that my strategy has an actual edge?

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BTCUSD

Trading The Reversal In Bitcoin

For a long time, I have been interested in bitcoin. I’ve been playing around with it since 2013 and I fully believe that the whole cryptocurrency ecosystem is only getting started.

 

e9a41a49a5da6b6492db0af0f4efe3deHowever, I’ve never featured anything related to cryptocurrencies on Smart Forex Learning! The biggest reason for this is that for a long time, I just saw them as a long-term investment holding, not something I’d actively trade. Nevertheless, I kept track of the price charts.

 

Interest in cryptocurrencies is growing and when I look at the bitcoin chart, it is starting to look like something I would trade. Cleaner charts, (relatively) less crazy spikes. It’s still not what you would call a quiet market, but a fast-moving market like this also provides us with opportunities.

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Fresh look at charts

3 ways for a fresh look at the charts

As traders, we create and settle in trading routines. They help us with building good trading practices and let us focus on the process, rather than the outcome. Of course, this is a good thing but often, this also means that we use the same way to look at the charts. We look for the same patterns. We do the same thing over and over again in order to get the right results.

 

But what if you don’t get the results you want?

 

Of course, this can have a multitude of reasons: bad risk management, FOMO, no discipline, not cutting losses, etc. Or how about this: maybe the patterns you look for are just not working? Maybe you need a fresh way to look at charts.

 

Perspective

 

By using a different point of view, you might be inspired to find new ways to gain an edge in the market and come out on top. In this article, I want to show 3 ways to flip things around and gain a different perspective on the markets.

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contest6301_banner

Using RSI divergence like a pro

Readers who have been following my weekly outlook for a while, know that I often talk about RSI divergence. It is one of the tools in my trading toolbox. But what exactly is a divergence and how do you correctly identify it? How do you use the RSI indicator in reversal trading and how does it help you spot reversal setups?

Divergence

 

 

I get a lot of questions about the details of how to use the RSI indicator in general and RSI divergence in specific, so let’s go over everything you need to know in order to use RSI divergences like a pro.

 

What is RSI?

 

Now, to understand RSI divergences, the first step is to know what the RSI indicator actually measures. Most of you will have seen it on your trading platform, but do you really understand what it does? Let’s have a look.

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Deliberate Practice

Deliberate Practice in Trading

 

You just need more chart time“.

 

I hear this advice all the time. My take on this? Yes and no.

 

Yes in the sense that as a beginning trader, you do need to develop a feel for the market you’re trading. Without any time in front of the charts, you will never understand the natural rhythm of a market, patterns, the influence economic news has on the price, how support and resistance are used, etc. In other words: chart time is a way to develop a gut feeling about how the market operates.

 

No in the sense that beyond the experience developed by initially observing charts, staring at charts without a purpose won’t increase your knowledge level and more importantly, won’t necessarily improve your bottom line.

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Cut losses short and let winners run

The Art of Cutting Losses & Letting Winners Run

For years, I was losing money because I didn’t get it. Not really. You hear it everywhere, it’s probably the best-known trader’s mantra in the world:

 

Cut Your Losers Fast And Let Your Winners Run

 

Often, people just skim over this line as something that’s probably true, without any second thought. We know what it means, but we don’t act on it. And we do this all the time in our lives: a smoker will occasionally think: “I should stop smoking”. Many people have this thought in their mind: “I should start exercising”. I should contact my friend whom I haven’t spoken in months. I should go on that world trip I’ve been planning for years.

 

I should cut my losses faster and let my winners run.

 

I really should

 

I should.

 

Yet, most of us don’t.

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Trader development plan

Why you need a trader development plan

 

I’ve learned everything there is to know about trading.

 

Says no professional trader, ever.

 

Not improving is deadly in this business. Seeing your P/L go south kind of deadly. Every trader who has made it has done so because of continuous learning. A desire to get better at the trading game. Every single one of those traders has a trader development plan. But what exactly is that?

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Trading chartbook

A chartbook can make or break your trading

Keeping a chartbook of trades you have taken might seem like such a random thing to do. A nice to have, for traders feeling nostalgic about past trades, maybe. You might’ve heard people talking about it, but I wouldn’t blame you if you didn’t think twice of it and just went on with whatever you were doing.

 

I’m here to say that such a collection of trade screenshots (sometimes called a playbook or chartbook) is much less trivial. It might even be crucial to your success as a trader.

 

Let’s try this experiment: do you keep a trading journal? If you answered “yes” here: well done! Now pick a trade from 3 months ago and look at just the numbers. From that data, you can probably see it was a winner of a loser, your R-multiple, stop loss and take profit placement, MFE and MAE and so on.

 

But without a chart screenshot,

  • can you tell what you could’ve done better on this particular trade?
  • if you could’ve entered at a better price point?
  • exited with more profit?
  • if there were chart patterns you missed?
  • if that new strategy idea you have would’ve worked out here?

 

No? That’s where a chartbook comes in. And it’s not even the only benefit of keeping track with chart screenshots.

 

Since keeping a chartbook, I found it much easier to stick to the good setups and avoid less than optimal setups. I know what to look for, but that visual double check using screenshots of past setups makes all the difference. But let’s first take a step back. What exactly is it?

 

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Forex buy and sell expert advisor

MT4 EA Course: Buy And Sell

This article is part of a series. Here are the other parts:

 

Welcome to the fourth part of our MetaTrader4 Expert Advisor course! If you haven’t done so, please have a look at first three instalments.

Forex Wall-E

 

Up until now, we’ve just been working with buy orders. But we’re traders, not investors! So rather than a buy-only system, it would be nice if our expert advisor could also short the market. In other words, we want to support going both long and short; buy and sell. We’re still working on our Forex Wall-E expert advisor, so let’s continue where we left off!

 

 

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