USDNOK forex outlook

Weekly Forex Outlook: June 3

Hello, champs! The week is done and I’m spending my weekend doing some trade analysis and of course writing the weekly forex outlook! I’ve spent last Thursday travelling on the bullet train from Kyoto to Tokyo and I’m now spending a month in Tokyo. So far, I love it here!

 

 

 

Last week was a bit challenging with lots of setups that didn’t have a follow-through. It’s in these times that knowing when to cut a trade is very important. I took 3 trades: the EURUSD 4H short, the USDCHF 4H long and a 1H short on EURNZD. It ended up being a break-even week for me.

 

If you want to keep up to date on setups during the week, have a look at my TradingView page. During the week, I will often publish a chart setup over there as well if I think it’s worth looking at.

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GBPCHF

Weekly forex outlook: March 4

Hi traders, I’m back with another weekly outlook! Lots of nice setups lining up for next week so even though the weekend has just started, I’m already looking forward to next week. Last week, I moved to a new place (in Brussels), so I was a little busier than usual, but it was an interesting week nonetheless.

 

Current market behaviour

 

A general observation is that the markets seem to be more skittish than usual, mainly fuelled by various fundamental factors in the world right now. Just yesterday (Friday), we could see the euro taking off on news about an early poll on the French election. Tuesday was focussed on the Trump speech to congress, which was the first time president Trump gave such a long speech singuce the inauguration. Markets were hoping for some details on the proposed tax cuts and infrastructure spending, but Trump was remarkably vague on details. In all, it was a rather uneventful speech and a rehash of the promises he made during his presidential campaign.

 

Let’s have a look at the overall market last week. The dollar initially surged on hints by Fed officials that a March rate hike would be likely. In the second part of the week, it made a market top and seems to have set in a downtrend. Even though almost every Fed official including Yellen indicated that a March rate hike was on the table and that the US economy had met Fed objectives, the DXY ended the week little changed. This could indicate that the rate hike was already largely priced in and the market was more focussed on other, mixed economic news.

 

Gold has ended the week quite a bit lower, continuing the downtrend initiated by the double top from last week. Even though the dollar was down for the second part of the week, the market seems to believe in dollar strength. This risk-on environment is the likely reason gold is selling off.

 

Finally, oil has moved down for the week. Better than expected crude oil inventories couldn’t prevent the commodity to sell off, but it rebounded near the second part of the week to around 53.20 a barrel.

 

Market overview

 

 

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EURGBP Daily chart

Weekly forex outlook: January 14

Hi traders, hope you had a good week! There were definitely some nice setups in the market last week. Especially the EURAUD and AUDUSD reversals gave us some good opportunities to get into the market. News-wise, last week was relatively quiet. As it is the weekend again, I’m going through my routine of analysing the markets and selecting the best setups for the upcoming week.

 

But first, a short overview of what happened last week. The dollar sold off a bit more and it seems that a reversal of some sorts has finally set in (although it’s quite early to tell, it might still reverse to the upside again!). As the USD and Gold are inversely correlated, we could see a push higher for gold. Oil moved a bit lower.

 

Market overview

 

 

 

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Weekly outlook EURAUD 21 August

Weekly forex outlook: August 21

As it is Sunday, I’m taking some time analysing the potential setups on forex pairs for the upcoming week. Last week was mixed. On the one hand, we had some good setups showing up, but many traders were presumably still on holiday, which resulted in a less volatile and more random market. For the weekly forex outlook of this week, I’m looking at the following currency pairs:

 

Follow my published ideas on TradingView.

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