USDSEK

Weekly Forex Outlook: October 21

👋 What’s up crew? We finished another week of trading. As always, I’m curious to know how your week went? I only took a few trades but unfortunately, none of them were listed in the weekly outlook. Many of the setups that looked interesting only developed after a few days or were part of my private watchlist.

 

We’ll have a look at one of the trades I took (a NZDUSD 1H short) in a moment. No trade review for this week since unfortunately, none of the setups of my outlook triggered! A few of them were based on the premise that the euro would go down and that didn’t happen. No trades triggered but also no losses were taken, so no worries!

 

 

 

Tokyo Forex Traders Meetup

 

Just a quick note: I’ve recently started the Tokyo Forex Traders Meetup. As some of you may know, I’ve been living in Tokyo for a while now. While I don’t intend to stop travelling, I like Tokyo so much that I have decided to make Tokyo my “home base”.

 

From that point of view and because I like to connect with traders, I have just started a meetup group for forex traders in Tokyo. The idea is to get together once a month, have a drink (or two) and just talk about trading. Very informal, just some traders connecting with each other and discussing what can otherwise be a pretty lonely profession 

 

We have our first meetup on November 7 (that’s a Tuesday evening) in a central Tokyo location (probably a spacious café or similar). If you’re living in Tokyo and would like to chat with other traders over a drink, have a look at the meetup page. If you know a trader living in Tokyo, don’t hesitate to forward the meetup page to them as well!
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EURGBP forex outlook

Weekly Forex Outlook: September 9

Morning traders, how’s the weekend going? Last week, I was on a short break due to travel (back to Japan) but I did follow the market. It was a slightly challenging week for reversal traders so I apparently chose this travel week well! 🙂

 

But now that I’m back in Tokyo, I’m back on the charts and preparing my weekly watch lists in the weekend. We have some interesting potential setups for the upcoming week, keep on reading to know which ones!

 

 

However, you’ll notice that all of the setups for this week are daily setups. While I’m thinking there are some good opportunities in the market for next week, there still is a lot of ranging behaviour in many pairs due to things like the hurricanes and geopolitical uncertainty, which makes for less than optimal lower time frame reversal setups.

 

So instead of forcing setups, we just stay on the daily charts for this week.

 

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GBPCHF forex outlook

Weekly Forex Outlook: May 20

Hi there, squad! How was your trading week? The past week has been… interesting, to say the least! The troubles that surround Trump (the firing of CIA boss Comey, leaks to Russia, etc) kind of held the markets hostage and much of the current market action is fuelled by politics and uncertainty, rather than pure technicals and economic data.

 

However, there were still opportunities to be had! The AUDCHF 4H short we discussed in last week’s outlook turned out to be my favourite trade of the week and we’ll review it in my weekly trade review. The GBPJPY short and Silver long trade also worked out nicely, with only our EURJPY short deciding to move a bit higher. No harm was done, our alerts were never hit so no action was taken on that one. The WhaM system also had a solid performance, although I’ve slightly changed the rules recently, but more on that soon!

 

If you want to keep up to date on setups during the week, have a look at my TradingView page. During the week, I will often publish a chart setup over there as well if I think it’s worth looking at.

 

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USDMXN forex outlook

Weekly Forex Outlook: April 9

Hi, traders! It’s (a beautiful!) weekend again, so I’m doing my usual routine: trade review, continuous improvement and writing my weekly forex outlook! Last week was a challenging but nevertheless good week. Not every setup from my previous weekly forex outlook did materialise, but that doesn’t matter since we use price alerts to get notified when something happens.

 

If you got in either the CADJPY trade or the AUDCAD trade (which I documented on TradingView), you could have made a nice profit! I did find the lower time frames a bit more random and less clean last week, so mostly stayed out of the 1H charts in favour of 4H and daily charts. Now let’s look at the upcoming week!

 

 

Current market behaviour

 

Last week was an interesting week. Lots of geopolitical events (Syria bombings, Trump-Xi meeting, etc), but the markets keep on going regardless. We also closed last week off with NFP, which must’ve been the biggest non-event of the week! The initial bearish reaction because of lower than expected payroll numbers was quickly faded because of lower than expected unemployment numbers.

 

The dollar kind of bounced around for the first part of the week but then moved sharply higher on Friday. Economic data was mixed but the biggest event (NFP) still managed to push the dollar higher.

 

Crude oil is continuing its trend (which starts to look quite nice on the 4H) and ended the week higher. Crude did mostly rise on the news of Syrian bombings. Syria is not a very big oil producer but its location in the Middle East still warrants carefulness with the traders, hence the push higher.

 

Market overview forex

 

Gold did end higher for the week but obviously turned lower on Friday as traders and investors moved away from risk-on assets after the non-farm payrolls. Gold is also in an interesting spot now, as you can see from the chart below:

 

XAUUSD

 

The price action on Friday resulted in a very nice pin bar on the daily. This pin bar coincides with a previous support-turned-resistance level and it’s now the second time price has tested this level. What happens next will depend for a large part of the geopolitical situation. Gold could move lower, but we need a strong dollar for this. Next week will tell us more.

 

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